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UK Recession is real

In a speech given on Tuesday 21 October in Leeds, the governor of the Bank of England, Mervyn King, admitted that the likelihood of recession in the UK was real and that the downturn could be ‘prolonged’.  Hot on his heels came the Prime Minister admitting in Parliament that recession was around the corner.

This could hardly have come as a surprise to anyone who has read the papers, watched the news or observed the downward spiralling of global economies over the past few weeks, yet the markets reacted the morning after Mr King’s speech with a tumble.  One does not doubt the validity of his warning but wonders whether spelling out the impending doom was justified.  After all, anyone unaware of impending recession must have been visiting from a far away planet!  It all begs the question of whether those in the know are talking a bad situation into a worse one.

There is just a glimmer of light, however, peeping through the darkness of the very long tunnel of home ownership.  The Bank of England reduced interest rates by half of one per cent earlier this month and some pundits think that that another cut will be necessary if Mr King’s warnings about controlling inflation are to be heeded.  Lenders have already responded to the initial cut and are likely to feel pressure to cut mortgage interest rates further should there be another cut in Bank rates.

Meanwhile, back in the long dark tunnel, the numbers of people entering negative equity are rising fast.  There is no end in sight to the fall in house prices, leaving some of those who have purchased recently in the worrying situation of knowing that their loan is more than the worth of their home.; all a grim reminder of the last property crash in the early 1990s.  Currently it is estimated that around 60,000 home owners are entering negative equity every month. 

If you are in that situation, you may be content to wait for stabilisation of the property market.  If cyclical trends are to be believed, property is likely to recover some, if not all, of its value over time.  For many, sitting tight could be the best option. 

But not everyone has the luxury of choice.  If you need to sell up because of rising debts or inability to meet your mortgage repayments, give Property Rescue a call and ask about their guaranteed valuation service.  Initial consultation with one of their experts is free and entirely without obligation.  They will not pressure you into proceeding and will not pester you with phone calls should you decide not to go ahead.  In a market where almost nothing is moving, it is still possible to sell your home.  Call Property Rescue for an informal chat and more details.

The 'R' Word (Recession)

The speed of the economic slowdown is catching us all out, from captains of industry and commentators, to shop owners and consumers.  When the warnings of an end to the good times were first voiced, it was difficult to find many people who took them that seriously.  A few less pounds in the pocket maybe, but the threat of recession -  certainly not!

But with every week that passes, recession seems more and more likely.  The government defines ‘recession’ as two consecutive calendars quarters of negative growth, and although the UK economy is not yet at that point, this week’s news makes the pundits worst fears easy to believe.

The Bank of England decided to hold interest rates at 5% at their meeting on Thursday in the face of demands from industry leaders who want to see a cut in order to stimulate UK growth; it would appear that Mr King and his colleagues are more concerned about keeping the lid on inflation than they are on placating businesses.  Bad news is coming in droves from the new build sector, with Barratt, Redrow, Taylor Wimpey and others announcing substantial job cuts and some builders even downing tools on part finished properties. 

The Halifax announced that house prices had fallen by 2% during June, the fastest rate in 15 years, meaning that the average house is losing value at the incredible rate of £900 each week.  Yet the first time buyer is not entering the market in any real numbers because of several factors: the uncertainty surrounding prices, the difficulty in getting a mortgage, and the absence of low cost deals from lenders. 

The outlook for house sellers is bleak.  Estate Agents’ sale boards are diminishing in number and very few bear the magic word, ‘sold’.  It makes sense to most people to delay selling their home until the market has settled but for the unlucky few who need to sell due to personal circumstances there is little comfort to be found.  Without first time buyers pushing the market from the bottom up, buyers at all levels are scarce and the ubiquitous chain becomes ever more threatening to a successful house sale.

Property Rescue offers one of the very few ways out of this dilemma.  An established company with the backing of substantial funds, Property Rescue is able to make an offer for any home in any location or condition.  The valuation will be below market rates, but in a market where prices are sliding fast that becomes less of a concern to most sellers.  The key factor in all Property Rescue deals is that the sale is guaranteed to go through once the valuation has been accepted by the seller.  There is no chain, no waiting, no fuss.

Contact Property Rescue today to talk to one of their experts about how you could sell your home fast even in the face of possible recession.  

28 July 2008. Repossession,Recession | Comments (0) -

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